[Typical disclaimer: I’m British and I just like making graphs, I don’t know as much about NFL as my wild assertions might imply. I’ve played fantasy football for one year now and I nearly got beat by someone who drafted Aaron Rodgers and all kickers, so take this advice with a large helping of salt]
It is with a heavy heart that I am about to reveal the basis of my fantasy draft strategy to the 13 other members of the Edinburgh nerds fantasy football league. My squad ‘THE LEGION OF BABY BOOM’ had a troubled season last year, as I picked Eddie Lacy with the second pick of the draft as he dropped from 230 points on the 2014 season to 120 points in 2015. I also held out until the later rounds to take a Quarterback, picking Sam Bradford and Teddy Bridgewater in successive rounds. I actually remember taking Teddy and seeing pick after pick not taking Bradford thinking “God what losers, I’m going to get both of them! #1, let’s go boomers!”. Subsequently I had a circus show at Quarterback, starting at points Josh McCown, Brian Hoyer etc. If you don’t have context to anything I’ve said above and I’m just naming random millionaires then let it be known that every name I said above played as if they were deliberately trying to disappoint me. I was not the victor of “VONTASY MILLERBALL”.
Anyway, the 2015 season was a clear sign to me that I am not a great NFL scout. Going on pure feeling again is going to get me embarrassed, especially since I spend far too long in a day reading about NFL to lose so badly again. So I decided to use what I have, a huge dataset of NFL players and a love of scattergraphs and histograms to try and override my awful instincts on draft day.
What I’ve got: The fantasy record of every player playing in the NFL from 2000-2015
What I’m going to do with it: Dump a load of graphs which attempt to make the readers of this blog win their fantasy league*, GUARANTEED**
*Assuming NFL.com Classic scoring
**The attempt is guaranteed, nothing else